PGA Aroeira · Golf Weekend

Aroeira Handicaps

Twelve players, three rounds, one goal: handicaps nobody can moan about. Every number is either an official England Golf index or computed from a full history of VPAR rounds — and the maths is all here to check.

Objections may be raised on the first tee and will be noted, then ignored.

12 players3 rounds Individual Stableford95% allowance Yellow teesBest 8 of 20 Net 2 hole caps

The Card

Playing handicaps per round · longest handicap first

PlayerR1PinesR2ChallengeR3Pines
Confidence: Solid Watch Thin / stale data R2 Challenge is the hardest (slope 136)
Sense check: Amendoeira 2025, replayed
Last October's three rounds, scored again with these handicaps. Every scorecard included.
See the replay →
The fairest teams
2 teams of 6, with every fourball and singles match drawn to be as close to 50/50 as our scorecards allow.
See the teams and draw →
Captains' Room
Pick your own teams and pairings on your phone, see each side's chances, and track results over the weekend.
Open →
Net 2 · Net Double Bogey

Blow-up holes, capped

Before any round counts towards a handicap, every hole is capped — exactly as England Golf does it. A disaster 10 on a par 4 only counts as the maximum a player of that handicap would be allowed, and a pickup counts as that maximum too. This can only ever bring a handicap down.

hole max = par + 2 + shots received

Shots received come from the player's handicap at the time of that round (worked out from their 20 rounds before it) and the hole's stroke index.

PlayerRounds with a capHoles cappedof which pickupsShots trimmedWithout Net 2With Net 2R1 play

VPAR-computed players, last 20 rounds. “Shots trimmed” counts strokes taken above the cap; pickups have no score to trim, so they're scored at the cap. “Without Net 2” uses the same rounds and tee ratings with every finished hole counted as played. England Golf indexes already have Net 2 built in, so those five players are unchanged.

The rulebook

The rules we followed

Every judgement call in the calculation, in one place — so any argument can start from the same page.

Which rounds count

  • 18-hole rounds only. 9-hole rounds are left out, including 9 holes entered on an 18-hole card (the other nine show as 0).
  • At least 14 holes holed out. Up to 4 pickups are allowed, the World Handicap System minimum for an 18-hole score. Cards with fewer holes played are left out.
  • The scorecard is the authority. The gross is added up hole by hole from the VPAR card, not taken from VPAR's round total, which is sometimes wrong or missing.
  • The joke round is out. The doctored Pyrford Lakes card from 29 Sep 2024 is excluded for everyone on it.
  • Par-3 courses are out. A course with no course rating (e.g. Turtle Hill, par 54) can't give a fair differential.
  • Every round you played counts, whoever set it up. Each player's full VPAR history is used, plus any round they're on that VPAR left off their own feed (it happens: La Quinta 6 Oct 2024, Amendoeira 5 Oct 2025). Mark's Hole19 rounds are added the same way, and a round logged in both apps counts once.
  • A total under 65 is treated as incomplete and left out.

Net 2 — capping each hole

  • Each hole is capped at par + 2 + shots received before anything else is worked out.
  • Shots come from the handicap at the time of that round: the player's index from their previous 20 usable rounds, turned into a course handicap index × slope ÷ 113 + (CR − par), rounded to a whole number.
  • VPAR's own handicap is not used. VPAR only holds about 10 old rounds of handicap history per player, so the handicap at the time is rebuilt from the rounds themselves. (VPAR's figure is shown on each scorecard for reference.)
  • Shots follow the stroke index: one per hole for every 18, plus one more on the holes with the lowest SI for the remainder. A card with no SI spreads shots evenly.
  • A pickup (“/” on VPAR) scores the cap.
  • No handicap yet — a player's first 3 rounds — means every hole is capped at par + 5.

The index

  • Differential = (adjusted gross − course rating) × 113 ÷ slope, to 1 decimal place.
  • Index = average of the best 8 of the last 20 usable rounds. With fewer rounds, the WHS table applies (e.g. 10 rounds → best 3, 18 → best 6). The small −1/−2 adjustments for 3–6 rounds are not applied; they only touch a player's very first rounds.
  • Maximum index 54.
  • Each round is rated for the tee it was played from. Every VPAR card records each player's tee colour and its yardage (Hole19 records the tee name); that is matched to the official Course Rating and Slope for that tee: an exact length match first, otherwise the same colour, otherwise the nearest length.
  • Ratings are official: the USGA database (which holds England Golf's ratings), the Spanish federation (RFEG) and the Portuguese federation (FPG). Luton Hoo, which no federation lists, uses its published scorecard. Where a course was re-rated, the new rating applies from 1 January of the year it is named for.
  • Estimates only where no rating exists: Caddington (now closed, never rated), Toot Hill and Costessey Park. Only one of those rounds is in anyone's last 20 (Martin, Caddington, October 2020), marked *.

On the weekend

  • England Golf index wins. Paul, Mark, Chris F, Neil and Lukas play off their official index, which already includes Net 2. Their VPAR maths is only a cross-check.
  • Playing handicap = course handicap × 95%, rounded, for individual Stableford on the yellow tees.
  • In-weekend cut: 1 shot per 2 Stableford points over 36, carried into the remaining rounds.
  • Everything is checkable. Each player's scorecards page shows every card, hole by hole, with the sums written out.
The Working

Every number, explained

Each player's index, how confident we are, and — for the VPAR-computed players — the exact rounds and sums behind it. Open “Show the rounds & maths” to check every differential.

Method

How this was built

Two kinds of handicap, both real: an official England Golf index where a player has one, otherwise a World Handicap System calculation on their full record of VPAR rounds.

England Golf players

Mark McAteer, Neil & Lukas Sparkes, Chris Fleming and Paul Timms have official England Golf Handicap Indexes, so we use them directly. Their logged rounds don't set their handicap (Mark's come from VPAR and a Hole19 export, and Neil and Lukas play noticeably worse on VPAR), because the England Golf number is the authority. The VPAR maths below does not apply to them.

VPAR-computed players

The other seven have no official index, so we compute one from their full VPAR history (50–100 rounds each). For every 18-hole round, each hole is first capped at Net 2 (below), then differential = (adjusted gross − course rating) × 113 ÷ slope, and we take the average of the best 8 of the last 20 (the standard WHS window). 9-hole rounds are excluded, as are cards with fewer than 14 holes completed. Each player's card shows the last 20 rounds; their scorecards page shows every card, hole by hole.

Net 2 (Net Double Bogey), hole by hole

Every scorecard was pulled from VPAR and each hole capped at par + 2 + shots received. The shots come from the player's course handicap at the time: their index from the 20 rounds before that one, turned into a course handicap for that course's rating and slope, then spread by stroke index — 1 shot per hole for every 18, and one more on the lowest-SI holes for the remainder.

Steve Buckell at Wexham Park, 2026-06-12: his index at the time was 32.1, a course handicap of 30 — 1 shot on every hole, plus 1 more on SI 1–12. Hole 6 is a par 5, SI 7, so he gets 2: cap = 5 + 2 + 2 = 9. He took 10, so 1 shot come off before the differential is worked out.

Pickups (“/” on a VPAR card) score the cap. For a player's first few rounds, before any index exists, the WHS rule is par + 5 per hole. Where a card has no stroke index, shots are spread evenly. Every capped hole is listed under its round in “Show the rounds & maths”.

Course ratings

A course's rating depends on the tee: at Ellesborough the yellows are 70.1 / slope 135 and the whites 71.2 / 138. So each round uses the rating for the tee actually played. VPAR records every player's tee colour and its length on the scorecard, and we match it against the official ratings: the USGA National Course Rating Database for English courses, the Spanish federation (RFEG) for Spain and Mallorca, and the Portuguese federation (FPG) for the Algarve. Most rounds match a rated tee to within a few yards. The three courses with no official rating (Caddington, which has closed, Toot Hill and Costessey Park) use estimates, marked *. Each player's scorecards page shows, for every round, which tee was rated and how it was matched.

Does it hold up?

Yes — the England Golf players are the control. Running this exact method on their VPAR history — Net 2 included, just as England Golf calculates theirs — lands within ~0.9 of their official index (Paul Timms 10.8 vs 11.7; Chris Fleming 14.5 vs 14.8; Mark McAteer 28.2 vs 27.4). That agreement is why the seven computed indexes can be trusted.

From index to playing handicap

course handicap = index × slope ÷ 113 + (CR − par), then × 95% for singles Stableford. Aroeira Pines plays off CR 71.3 / slope 131; the Challenge CR 71.6 / slope 136 — hence the extra shot or two in Round 2.

The in-weekend cut

Beat 36 points and you're cut for the rounds that follow: 1 shot per 2 points over 36, accumulating. Shoot 40 in Round 1 → 2 off Rounds 2 and 3. The calculator holds a grudge.

Known gaps

  • Jack Mason has logged nothing on VPAR since 2021 — his 32.1 is an unverified placeholder.
  • Martin Wrankmore has only 10 rounds on record, so his ~32 rests on a small sample.
  • Neil & Lukas Sparkes play a few shots worse on VPAR than their England Golf index; we've used England Golf, so watch for a form gap.

Sources: full VPAR round history · Mark McAteer's Hole19 export · course ratings per tee from the USGA NCRDB, the Spanish (RFEG) and Portuguese (FPG) federations, and Luton Hoo's published scorecard · England Golf indexes self-reported · to Sep 2026.